Things only get worse...
"Russian deployment now numbered as high as 45,000, and that there had been 26 clashes in the past 24 hours, including six attacks from Russian territory."
Very painfull situation for Ukraine. They are under attack by Russia but if they fire back, they get the Russia's full arsenal of ammo on their head.
If I was desiding in UN, I would fully populate Ukraine-Russia border with peace keeping personnell and with 24h/7 live data stream to web of what goes on.
Re MH17 analysis document:
My observations with "A:"
//After the missile explodes, momentum will continue to carry the aircraft forward at 1 km every 4 seconds.//
A: The rapidly changing aerodynamics seem to have caused the plane to bank left etc. we do not yet know exactly. If black boxes were served with electricity long enough, we will one day know more (it could be that black boxes were powered untill just before center body hit ground.) At least russia provided radar data and the spread of the debris shows the changed path.
A2: banking to left match with my idea of warhead destroying the aerodynamics of the left side of the plane.
//Residents of Torez reported hearing two blasts at 1620 local time//
A: hearsay. No one recorded the time between sounds.
//Buk firing position to the southeast of the town of Snizhne.//
A: More information of the firing position will follow. But I personally now pay more attention in BUK radar range vs possible BUK launcher position.
A2: Look at the postion where (possible) BUK launch smoke is seen, the possible launch spot is unclear. Only the direction where the shot came might be now known.
A3: what the telegraph really said "That might also place the launch site further north, much closer to the crash site. " etc...
A4: I think we can be almost 100% sure that a BUK system travelled south from schnize little before the MH17 event. (most likely not far otherwise it would have been taken closer on the well known trailer truck)
UPDATE: debris field map
//An explosion in this position would obliterate the starboard side of the aircraft cockpit (It is
doubtful the starboard side will ever be found) and the shrapnel would have blasted through the
cockpit area and exited on the port side. This is consistent with imagery obtained from the debris
A: the damage on port side (left side btw) shows shcrapnell going into the plane, not out. And it shows that the cockpit was inside the fireball that the exploding warhead caused (high welocity small particles has damaged the aluminium).
A2: if no more aluminium cover over cockpit is not found, it has been hidden by rebels who controlled the area. (there has been reports that rebels cut off parts of the cockpit)
//If a Buk TELAR was located exactly at Snizhne it would have intercepted
MH17 in a head on position. The resulting damage would be very different from the observed
A: the damage we can see match with (almost) head on hit
//The question which needs to be asked is "How did the rebels manage to identify a potential
target outside the acquisition range of a Buk TELAR radar, and beyond the limits of visual
range?" Perhaps the rebels are telepathic.//
A: from the captured telephone conversation it's clear that plane was heard above the clouds 2min before it was hot down. So the rebels had positioned observers to north-west direction of the BUK system.
//Finally, if a missile had been fired from a position close to Snizhne, it is likely the citizens of
Snizhne would have observed and photographed either the missile launch, or the missile
A: we have seen a lot of BUk evidence and facts. Even one launch smoke trail even. There will be more once the cell phone photos come from the rural areas... (also, if the shot would have been done by Ukraine forces, we will get more evidence also from that... and I think Russia has the radar spotting data of the BUK missile radar transmitter mas they have spotted every other radar device as well)
//US has not provided any reasonable means to assist in the identification of the perpetrators of the MH17 shoot down.//
A: I agree.
A2: On the other hand Russia has provided plenty of disinformation, like SU-25 "hovering" above MH17 location.
//When the neoNazis in Ukraine overthrow a democratically elected government,//
A: shows how credible the writer is
Anyway... saved the doc as it has interesting technical data.
IMO, this has been pretty reliable source so far:Open news room
Progress of the war:
https://news.vice.com/video/russian-roulette-dispatch-61 (destruction of evidence etc. more in video 62)
Grazy ideas: fill the sky with unmanned drones and make the material live. If rebels start shooting drones down, they end their missiles reserves very fast and it could be seen if more are brought over the border.
Amazing plane. It can fly sideways beside a passenger plane at 10km height while machine gunning the plane.
(exteme troll site it seems...)
Putting together the MH17 pieces:
btw. some say BUK was used also for shooting this Antonov:
(I doubt a missile that flies 3700kmh can do that sharp turns.... so that might be some more modern missile?)
When there's something strange in your neigbourhood who are you going to call ... CANADA!
And as I mentioned my first posts, sanctions cost a lot for smaller EU countries that are neigbours with russia:
There's a lot of forces moving at the Russia side of east Ukraina border... I wish Putin would be man enough to admit his errors and step down before WW3.(oops comic)
I found this interesting read.. (war with finns vs war with ukrain)[ Edited by KimmoK 11.08.2014 - 10:43 ]